Playoff Fever: The Ultimate Guide to Every Team’s Super Bowl Chances

## NFL Playoff Probabilities for Every Team Entering Week 12

**As the NFL season approaches its halfway point, the playoff race is starting to heat up. Several teams have emerged as contenders, while others have fallen out of contention. Here’s a look at the playoff probabilities for every team entering Week 12, according to Football Outsiders:**

### AFC

**1. Kansas City Chiefs (83.5%)**

The Chiefs are the clear favorites in the AFC, with a dominant offense led by Patrick Mahomes. They have a 7-3 record and hold a commanding lead in the AFC West.

**2. Buffalo Bills (70.0%)**

The Bills have been impressive this season, with a 6-3 record. They have a dynamic offense led by Josh Allen and a stout defense.

**3. Cincinnati Bengals (63.7%)**

The Bengals are the defending AFC champions and have a strong team led by Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase. They have a 5-4 record and are in the thick of the AFC North race.

**4. Baltimore Ravens (54.8%)**

The Ravens have been a bit inconsistent this season but remain a threat in the AFC. They have a 6-3 record and are led by a strong defense.

**5. New York Jets (50.1%)**

The Jets have been a surprise team this season, with a 6-3 record. They have a young and talented roster led by Zach Wilson and Sauce Gardner.

**6. Miami Dolphins (43.0%)**

The Dolphins have a 5-3 record and are in the mix for a wild-card berth. They have a solid offense led by Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill.

**7. New England Patriots (34.6%)**

The Patriots have a 5-4 record and are still in the playoff hunt. They have a strong defense but have struggled on offense at times.

**8. Pittsburgh Steelers (32.2%)**

The Steelers have a 3-6 record and are fading from playoff contention. They have struggled on both offense and defense.

**9. Cleveland Browns (27.2%)**

The Browns have a 3-6 record and are also out of the playoff picture. They have been decimated by injuries and have struggled to find consistency.

**10. Indianapolis Colts (26.1%)**

The Colts have a 3-5-1 record and are on the verge of being eliminated from playoff contention. They have a weak offense and have struggled to protect Matt Ryan.

**11. Houston Texans (12.3%)**

The Texans have a 1-7-1 record and are the worst team in the AFC. They have a lot of holes on their roster and are in a full-blown rebuild.

**12. Jacksonville Jaguars (11.9%)**

The Jaguars have a 3-6 record and are also out of the playoff race. They have shown some improvement this season but still have a long way to go.

**13. Tennessee Titans (9.8%)**

The Titans have a 5-4 record but are fading fast. They have lost three straight games and have struggled to find their identity on offense.

**14. Denver Broncos (4.2%)**

The Broncos have a 3-6 record and are all but out of playoff contention. They have struggled on both offense and defense and have been a major disappointment this season.

**15. Las Vegas Raiders (3.3%)**

The Raiders have a 2-7 record and are also out of the playoff race. They have been a mess all season long and are in desperate need of a rebuild.

**16. Los Angeles Chargers (2.8%)**

The Chargers have a 4-5 record and are on the verge of being eliminated from playoff contention. They have a talented roster but have struggled to put it all together.

### NFC

**1. Philadelphia Eagles (93.3%)**

The Eagles are the clear favorites in the NFC, with a 9-1 record. They have a dominant offense led by Jalen Hurts and a stingy defense.

**2. Minnesota Vikings (77.4%)**

The Vikings have a 8-2 record and are in firm control of the NFC North. They have a high-powered offense led by Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson.

**3. San Francisco 49ers (71.6%)**

The 49ers have a 6-4 record and are a legitimate contender in the NFC. They have a strong defense and a young and talented offense.

**4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (63.1%)**

The Buccaneers have a 5-5 record but remain in the playoff hunt. They have a talented roster led by Tom Brady but have struggled with injuries this season.

**5. Dallas Cowboys (58.9%)**

The Cowboys have a 6-3 record and are in the thick of the NFC East race. They have a balanced offense and a solid defense.

**6. New York Giants (49.1%)**

The Giants have a 6-4 record and are a surprise team in the NFC. They have a strong defense and a young and improving offense.

**7. Washington Commanders (44.0%)**

The Commanders have a 6-4 record and are in the NFC wild-card race. They have a solid offense led by Taylor Heinicke and a stout defense.

**8. Detroit Lions (37.2%)**

The Lions have a 4-6 record and are in the mix for a wild-card berth. They have a young and talented roster led by Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown.

**9. Seattle Seahawks (34.9%)**

The Seahawks have a 6-4 record and are still in the playoff hunt. They have a strong defense but have struggled on offense at times.

**10. Los Angeles Rams (33.2%)**

The Rams have a 3-6 record and are fading from playoff contention. They have been plagued by injuries and have struggled to find their footing this season.

**11. Green Bay Packers (29.7%)**

The Packers have a 4-6 record and are on the verge of being eliminated from playoff contention. They have struggled on both offense and defense and have been a major disappointment this season.

**12. New Orleans Saints (28.3%)**

The Saints have a 4-6 record and are also out of the playoff race. They have been ravaged by injuries and have struggled to find consistency.

**13. Arizona Cardinals (21.3%)**

The Cardinals have a 3-6 record and are all but out of playoff contention. They have struggled on both offense and defense and have been a major disappointment this season.

**14. Atlanta Falcons (17.7%)**

The Falcons have a 4-6 record and are also out of the playoff race. They have shown some signs of improvement but still have a lot of holes on their roster.

**15. Carolina Panthers (14.5%)**

The Panthers have a 3-7 record and are also out of the playoff race. They have struggled on both offense and defense and have been a major disappointment this season.

**16. Chicago Bears (9.6%)**

The Bears have a 3-7 record and are the worst team in the NFC. They have a lot of holes on their roster and are in a full-blown rebuild.

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